MRVLMarvell01
$234.60
LAST
-3.5%
VS ZONE $243.20
STOP $180SELL $313–330
BUY NOW · in zoneFAIR
Custom silicon + optics for AI datacenters
Every other name on this page is either the wrong price or the wrong time. Buy these, or set an alert and wait.
Custom silicon + optics for AI datacenters
Strongest Mag7 chart; AI ad engine
Zen 6 + Helios racks; the credible #2 in accelerators
Everyone's foundry; record June sales, Q2 print Thursday
Ranked by actionability. Sort any column. ◆ = deep dive in the archive.
| NAME ↑ | LT TREND | ST TREND | DECISION | VALUATION | PRICE | ZONE | TO ZONE | POSITION · STOP → SELL | MOMENTUM 3M | REV YOY | FWD P/E | THESIS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01MRVLMarvell | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY NOW · in zone | FAIR | $234.60 | $243.20 | -3.5% | stop $180sell $313–330 | +43.6% 12M +164.5% -28.9% off hi | +36.5% margin 27.9% | 32.0 | Custom silicon + optics for AI datacenters |
02METAMeta | Platforms | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY NOW · in zone | FAIR | $642.02 | $664.86 | -3.4% | stop $633sell $741–780 | +9.6% 12M -14.5% -17.7% off hi | +26.1% margin 31.1% | 18.3 | Strongest Mag7 chart; AI ad engine |
03AMDAMD | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY NOW · in zone | FAIR | $530.13 | $542.59 | -2.3% | stop $404sell $626–659 | +23.4% 12M +104.2% -19.5% off hi | +50.1% margin 15.6% | 33.6 | Zen 6 + Helios racks; the credible #2 in accelerators |
04TSM ◆TSMC | AI Compute | EARNINGS WK | BUY NOW · in zone | UNDERVALUED | $426.22 | $434.12 | -1.8% | stop $398sell $463–487 | +13.8% 12M +42.9% -12.6% off hi | +50.9% margin 51.1% | 18.2 | Everyone's foundry; record June sales, Q2 print Thursday |
05CRMSalesforce | Software & Cyber | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY ≤ $236 | UNDERVALUED | $244.45 | $235.95 | +3.6% | stop $199sell $256–269 | +29.8% 12M -4.3% -9.2% off hi | +10.8% margin 22.0% | 15.3 | Agentforce optionality at a value multiple |
06MSFTMicrosoft | Platforms | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY ≤ $509 | UNDERVALUED | $530.37 | $509.13 | +4.2% | stop $437sell $581–605 | +35.8% 12M -0.2% -4.2% off hi | +17.7% margin 40.3% | 22.4 | Azure AI at a beaten-down multiple |
07FANGDiamondback | Energy Security | WAR PREMIUM | BUY ≤ $198 | UNDERVALUED | $206.99 | $197.51 | +4.8% | stop $188sell $216–222 | +3.9% 12M +43.3% -4.6% off hi | +52.5% margin 9.0% | 9.9 | Permian consolidator |
08PANWPalo Alto | Software & Cyber | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY ≤ $370 | FAIR | $390.23 | $370.47 | +5.3% | stop $266sell $411–432 | +24.2% 12M +77.1% -9.7% off hi | +34.5% margin 2.7% | 80.0 | Platformization is working |
09LLYEli Lilly | Health Innovation | QUIET | BUY ≤ $1,189 | RICH | $1,279 | $1,189 | +7.6% | stop $1,086sell $1,322–1,367 | +5.7% 12M +54.7% -3.2% off hi | +47.7% margin 33.5% | 27.1 | GLP-1 franchise + pipeline depth |
10LNGCheniere | Energy Security | WAR PREMIUM | BUY ≤ $279 | FAIR | $301.20 | $279.08 | +7.9% | stop $254sell $316–328 | +16.5% 12M +37.0% -0.4% off hi | +22.7% margin 13.9% | 14.5 | US LNG tollbooth Europe still needs |
11CVXChevron | Energy Security | WAR PREMIUM | BUY ≤ $211 | FAIR | $232.45 | $211.07 | +10.1% | stop $192sell $231–238 | +21.2% 12M +49.7% -0.7% off hi | +53.5% margin 9.8% | 14.8 | Yield + Hess finally closed |
12EOGEOG Resources | Energy Security | WAR PREMIUM | BUY ≤ $148 | UNDERVALUED | $163.12 | $147.98 | +10.2% | stop $136sell $165–171 | +11.8% 12M +52.8% -1.2% off hi | +58.7% margin 25.7% | 10.1 | Best-in-class shale returns |
13XOMExxon Mobil | Energy Security | WAR PREMIUM | BUY ≤ $166 | FAIR | $184.01 | $166.26 | +10.7% | stop $153sell $184–190 | +17.4% 12M +58.7% -0.2% off hi | +44.1% margin 9.1% | 15.0 | Integrated scale + Guyana growth |
14DDOGDatadog | Software & Cyber | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY ≤ $249 | RICH | $280.64 | $249.26 | +12.6% | stop $196sell $286–301 | +6.2% 12M +78.1% -6.7% off hi | +35.6% margin 4.5% | 94.0 | Observability + AI monitoring |
15COP ◆ConocoPhillips | Energy Security | WAR PREMIUM | BUY ≤ $135 | UNDERVALUED | $151.51 | $134.57 | +12.6% | stop $120sell $150–155 | +28.3% 12M +70.8% -0.8% off hi | +35.5% margin 14.4% | 14.1 | Lead pick: low-cost barrels, war-premium tailwind |
16LMTLockheed Martin | Defense & Space | WAR PREMIUM | BUY ≤ $541 | UNDERVALUED | $628.12 | $540.52 | +16.2% | stop $567sell $657–692 | +10.4% 12M +29.0% -9.2% off hi | +11.3% margin 8.2% | 18.9 | Rearmament backlog at a value multiple |
17IREN ◆IREN | Crypto Infra | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $45 | FAIR | $26.36 | $44.84 | -41.2% | stop $45sell $73–77 | -10.1% 12M -59.4% -65.7% off hi | -26.7% margin -99.4% | -6.6 | Miner-to-AI-compute pivot |
18APP ◆AppLovin | Software & Cyber | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $424 | FAIR | $258.73 | $423.74 | -38.9% | stop $424sell $701–738 | -35.2% 12M -59.8% -64.9% off hi | +52.8% margin 64.6% | 12.6 | Ad-engine cash flows |
19KTOSKratos | Defense & Space | WAR PREMIUM | BUY · reclaim $66 | RICH | $40.13 | $65.70 | -38.9% | stop $66sell $127–134 | -8.5% 12M -55.7% -70.0% off hi | +30.5% margin 2.0% | 35.4 | Drones + hypersonics pure-play |
20MOD ◆Modine | Power & Grid | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $216 | FAIR | $133.15 | $215.93 | -38.3% | stop $216sell $307–323 | -25.2% 12M -18.3% -58.8% off hi | +28.0% margin 4.3% | 12.9 | Datacenter cooling ramp |
21AVAVAeroVironment | Defense & Space | WAR PREMIUM | BUY · reclaim $190 | RICH | $124.64 | $190.25 | -34.5% | stop $190sell $388–408 | -12.3% 12M -67.2% -69.5% off hi | +5.7% margin -10.1% | 28.3 | Drones are the new artillery |
22RKLB ◆Rocket Lab | Defense & Space | WAR PREMIUM | BUY · reclaim $80 | RICH | $54.66 | $80.44 | -32.0% | stop $80sell $143–151 | -6.7% 12M -16.7% -63.8% off hi | +62.0% margin -21.5% | 950.8 | Neutron optionality on a real launch business |
23BWXTBWX Technologies | Power & Grid | QUIET | BUY · reclaim $186 | FAIR | $130.05 | $186.28 | -30.2% | stop $186sell $230–242 | -17.4% 12M -36.3% -46.2% off hi | +18.0% margin 10.1% | 24.8 | Naval reactors + SMR optionality |
24VRTVertiv | Power & Grid | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $269 | FAIR | $200.71 | $269.27 | -25.5% | stop $269sell $361–380 | -10.0% 12M +4.0% -47.2% off hi | +24.1% margin 15.1% | 21.8 | Cooling + power gear for AI datacenters |
25CCJCameco | Power & Grid | QUIET | BUY · reclaim $105 | FAIR | $79.03 | $104.84 | -24.6% | stop $105sell $128–135 | -6.5% 12M -8.8% -41.6% off hi | -7.2% margin 10.2% | 29.8 | Western uranium duopoly |
26COHRCoherent | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $296 | FAIR | $223.25 | $295.60 | -24.5% | stop $296sell $418–440 | +0.5% 12M +65.4% -49.3% off hi | +33.7% margin 11.3% | 16.0 | Optics and transceivers for AI clusters |
27CLSCelestica | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $333 | FAIR | $270.50 | $333.04 | -18.8% | stop $333sell $450–474 | -17.6% 12M -10.4% -42.9% off hi | +62.4% margin 7.2% | 13.7 | Hyperscaler ODM compounder |
28LHXL3Harris | Defense & Space | WAR PREMIUM | BUY · reclaim $306 | UNDERVALUED | $257.44 | $306.19 | -15.9% | stop $306sell $360–379 | -13.5% 12M -11.6% -32.1% off hi | +8.4% margin 8.2% | 19.1 | Comms & ISR, cheap versus the primes |
29LRCXLam Research | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $284 | FAIR | $238.54 | $283.62 | -15.9% | stop $284sell $417–438 | -5.5% 12M +52.0% -45.6% off hi | +54.4% margin 32.3% | 19.6 | Etch & deposition leader; memory-capex proxy |
30NOK ◆Nokia | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $10 | UNDERVALUED | $8.71 | $10.26 | -15.1% | stop $10sell $17–17 | +3.6% 12M +36.9% -50.1% off hi | +9.7% margin 3.8% | 17.7 | Networks + patents; deep value on AI backhaul |
31NVONovo Nordisk | Health Innovation | QUIET | BUY · reclaim $45 | UNDERVALUED | $38.96 | $44.60 | -12.6% | stop $45sell $61–64 | -24.5% 12M -26.3% -39.3% off hi | +2.1% margin 35.3% | 1.7 | GLP-1 #2 at a discount after stumbles |
32AMATApplied Materials | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $442 | FAIR | $390.86 | $442.48 | -11.7% | stop $442sell $703–740 | -10.4% 12M +69.0% -47.2% off hi | +24.8% margin 30.1% | 21.1 | Broadest chip-equipment franchise |
33AVGOBroadcom | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $368 | RICH | $329.81 | $367.81 | -10.3% | stop $368sell $470–495 | -10.9% 12M -8.9% -33.4% off hi | +85.5% margin 42.9% | 17.0 | Custom AI silicon + software; expensive for a reason |
34UBERUber | Consumer & Mobility | QUIET | BUY · reclaim $74 | FAIR | $66.19 | $73.73 | -10.2% | stop $74sell $95–100 | -7.0% 12M -31.4% -34.0% off hi | +12.2% margin 17.3% | 15.0 | Platform FCF inflection; AV partnership hub |
35CEG ◆Constellation Energy | Power & Grid | WAR PREMIUM | BUY · reclaim $282 | UNDERVALUED | $253.48 | $281.54 | -10.0% | stop $282sell $386–406 | -1.7% 12M -35.2% -37.6% off hi | +23.0% margin 11.1% | 19.0 | Largest US nuclear fleet + Calpine; the AI-power core |
36GEVGE Vernova | Power & Grid | QUIET | BUY · reclaim $940 | RICH | $855.75 | $939.84 | -8.9% | stop $940sell $1,136–1,196 | -4.9% 12M +46.4% -28.4% off hi | +21.9% margin 23.0% | 34.0 | Gas turbines sold out for years |
37PWRQuanta Services | Power & Grid | QUIET | BUY · reclaim $623 | RICH | $567.03 | $622.72 | -8.9% | stop $623sell $749–789 | +1.1% 12M +28.3% -28.1% off hi | +41.1% margin 4.0% | 28.5 | Grid-buildout backlog machine |
38KKRKKR | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | BUY · reclaim $100 | FAIR | $91.66 | $99.62 | -8.0% | stop $100sell $138–145 | -7.7% 12M -25.0% -36.7% off hi | +7.8% margin 12.2% | 12.7 | Alt-asset compounding despite rates |
39SCHWCharles Schwab | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | BUY · reclaim $98 | FAIR | $90.06 | $97.81 | -7.9% | stop $98sell $109–115 | -13.8% 12M -5.0% -21.4% off hi | +16.9% margin 39.3% | 11.5 | Cash sorting done; NII rebuild |
40BACBank of America | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | BUY · reclaim $55 | UNDERVALUED | $50.84 | $55.03 | -7.6% | stop $55sell $62–65 | -16.7% 12M -4.1% -22.1% off hi | +7.1% margin 28.1% | 9.8 | Rate-sensitive book repricing upward |
41VSTVistra | Power & Grid | WAR PREMIUM | BUY · reclaim $154 | FAIR | $142.52 | $154.16 | -7.6% | stop $154sell $193–204 | -0.2% 12M -28.5% -30.0% off hi | -5.5% margin 11.6% | 13.7 | Gas + nuclear IPP with datacenter deals |
42GOOGL ◆Alphabet | Platforms | TECH RISK-OFF | BUY · reclaim $341 | UNDERVALUED | $319.03 | $341.28 | -6.5% | stop $341sell $388–409 | -5.3% 12M +18.5% -21.9% off hi | +24.2% margin 54.8% | 20.8 | Search + Gemini + TPUs; still the cheapest megacap |
43GSGoldman Sachs | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | BUY · reclaim $958 | FAIR | $896.60 | $958.37 | -6.4% | stop $958sell $1,096–1,154 | -8.6% 12M +13.5% -22.3% off hi | +23.3% margin 31.2% | 12.1 | Capital-markets thaw + rates desk |
44NOCNorthrop Grumman | Defense & Space | WAR PREMIUM | BUY · reclaim $593 | FAIR | $559.67 | $592.54 | -5.5% | stop $593sell $735–774 | +4.6% 12M -6.1% -27.7% off hi | +6.7% margin 10.4% | 18.6 | B-21 + the nuclear triad |
45ETNEaton | Power & Grid | QUIET | BUY · reclaim $396 | FAIR | $373.88 | $395.83 | -5.5% | stop $396sell $454–478 | +3.3% 12M -1.5% -21.8% off hi | +21.4% margin 12.8% | 22.9 | Electrification of everything |
46TLNTalen Energy | Power & Grid | WAR PREMIUM | BUY · reclaim $350 | FAIR | $339.77 | $350.15 | -3.0% | stop $350sell $427–450 | +7.5% 12M -16.5% -24.5% off hi | +111.2% margin -4.9% | 11.0 | Nuclear-adjacent IPP; hyperscaler campus power |
47WFCWells Fargo | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | BUY · reclaim $84 | FAIR | $83.06 | $83.78 | -0.9% | stop $84sell $93–98 | -1.0% 12M -4.5% -15.0% off hi | +0.4% margin 27.6% | 10.4 | Post-asset-cap growth case; ±5.5% priced today |
48OKLOOklo | Power & Grid | TECH RISK-OFF | WATCH | PRICED FOR PERFECTION | $26.29 | $55.33 | -52.5% | stop $55sell $144–152 | -28.6% 12M -80.9% -82.7% off hi | — margin 0.0% | -24.1 | SMR story stock — buy fear only |
49SNDKSanDisk | Memory Cycle | MEMORY UNWIND | WATCH | FAIR | $1,265 | $1,586 | -20.2% | stop $1,241sell $2,237–2,354 | +24.5% 12M +616.8% -46.3% off hi | +371.6% margin 56.5% | 4.7 | NAND pure-play; knife until the cycle proves out |
50CRDOCredo | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | WATCH | RICH | $154.44 | $180.92 | -14.6% | stop $181sell $293–309 | -13.0% 12M -0.3% -50.0% off hi | +114.7% margin 33.8% | 15.9 | AEC cables; small, fast, violent |
51ALABAstera Labs | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | WATCH | PRICED FOR PERFECTION | $265.03 | $309.63 | -14.4% | stop $253sell $475–499 | +6.1% 12M +55.6% -46.9% off hi | +104.5% margin 30.7% | 41.4 | Connectivity picks-and-shovels; hot-money crowd |
52SMCISupermicro | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | WATCH | FAIR | $32.94 | $38.45 | -14.3% | stop $33sell $51–54 | +28.2% 12M -36.1% -39.1% off hi | +93.2% margin 5.7% | 5.9 | AI racks; accounting scars demand a discount |
53HOODRobinhood | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | WATCH | RICH | $93.71 | $108.83 | -13.9% | stop $93sell $143–150 | +4.3% 12M -35.8% -37.7% off hi | +32.3% margin 42.0% | 27.4 | Retail flow + crypto beta |
54COINCoinbase | Crypto Infra | TECH RISK-OFF | WATCH | RICH | $160.19 | $180.07 | -11.0% | stop $180sell $355–373 | +0.1% 12M -55.7% -57.1% off hi | -17.3% margin -16.3% | 52.1 | Regulated-exchange moat, pure BTC beta |
55CRCLCircle | Crypto Infra | TECH RISK-OFF | WATCH | RICH | $79.93 | $86.15 | -7.2% | stop $86sell $140–147 | +30.3% 12M -44.2% -45.8% off hi | +6.6% margin 15.5% | 54.1 | Stablecoin rails; post-IPO froth |
56JPMJPMorgan | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | AT ZONE · downswing | FAIR | $334.72 | $344.85 | -2.9% | stop $323sell $348–366 | -2.9% 12M +10.1% -8.7% off hi | +10.2% margin 34.6% | 13.1 | The fortress; NII guide lands today |
57NVDA ◆Nvidia | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | AT ZONE · downswing | FAIR | $215.98 | $222.30 | -2.8% | stop $204sell $231–243 | +13.7% 12M +12.8% -11.3% off hi | +105.9% margin 63.7% | 13.6 | The AI franchise; forward multiple back at pre-boom levels |
58AMZNAmazon | Platforms | TECH RISK-OFF | AT ZONE · downswing | FAIR | $249.44 | $255.38 | -2.3% | stop $243sell $273–287 | +10.1% 12M +9.9% -13.1% off hi | +19.6% margin 17.4% | 23.9 | AWS reacceleration + retail margin lever |
59ADBEAdobe | Software & Cyber | TECH RISK-OFF | AT ZONE · downswing | UNDERVALUED | $254.56 | $255.60 | -0.4% | stop $252sell $346–364 | -3.4% 12M -28.9% -30.0% off hi | +12.9% margin 28.0% | 9.3 | AI anxiety fully priced; cash machine intact |
60RTXRTX | Defense & Space | WAR PREMIUM | AT ZONE · downswing | FAIR | $196.66 | $196.58 | +0.0% | stop $195sell $216–227 | -8.6% 12M +9.7% -13.3% off hi | +11.1% margin 8.8% | 24.5 | Missiles + engines; Iran demand pull |
61SLBSLB | Energy Security | WAR PREMIUM | AT ZONE · downswing | UNDERVALUED | $52.49 | $52.45 | +0.1% | stop $51sell $57–60 | +7.2% 12M +45.2% -13.2% off hi | +5.8% margin 8.4% | 16.7 | Oil services cycle, international tilt |
62NETCloudflare | Software & Cyber | TECH RISK-OFF | WATCH | PRICED FOR PERFECTION | $330.28 | $319.53 | +3.4% | stop $246sell $352–370 | +22.2% 12M +46.7% -10.8% off hi | +35.9% margin -8.2% | 196.4 | Edge-AI story at a story price |
63UNHUnitedHealth | Health Innovation | EARNINGS WK | WATCH | UNDERVALUED | $410.82 | $388.75 | +5.7% | stop $361sell $439–462 | -2.3% 12M +12.3% -11.0% off hi | -0.4% margin 3.5% | 17.7 | Broken compounder; reports Thursday — still a knife |
64TSLATesla | Consumer & Mobility | TECH RISK-OFF | WATCH | PRICED FOR PERFECTION | $395.23 | $364.83 | +8.3% | stop $386sell $474–499 | +32.5% 12M -12.6% -20.8% off hi | -0.2% margin 3.1% | 182.6 | Robotaxi promise vs auto reality |
65FCXFreeport-McMoRan | Real Economy | QUIET | BROKE ZONE · knife | UNDERVALUED | $65.15 | $71.86 | -9.3% | stop $65sell $76–80 | +8.6% 12M +58.5% -18.8% off hi | -7.3% margin 11.4% | 15.0 | Copper is the electrification bottleneck |
66ANETArista | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BROKE ZONE · knife | RICH | $178.07 | $196.00 | -9.1% | stop $164sell $207–217 | +12.7% 12M +13.6% -18.1% off hi | +37.7% margin 38.4% | 34.1 | AI networking share leader |
67DELL ◆Dell | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BROKE ZONE · knife | UNDERVALUED | $470.63 | $512.47 | -8.2% | stop $324sell $566–596 | +27.3% 12M +190.2% -21.0% off hi | +57.7% margin 7.5% | 15.7 | AI-server share at a value multiple |
68MU ◆Micron | Memory Cycle | MEMORY UNWIND | WAIT · crowded knife | FAIR | $909.01 | $981.47 | -7.4% | stop $735sell $1,192–1,255 | +23.0% 12M +313.0% -27.6% off hi | +379.3% margin 63.8% | 4.4 | Bear market; Burry short vs ClearBridge long |
69ASMLASML | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | BROKE ZONE · knife | FAIR | $1,597 | $1,718 | -7.0% | stop $1,590sell $1,900–2,000 | +3.0% 12M +50.7% -20.1% off hi | +55.2% margin 34.1% | 28.6 | Litho monopoly; the toll booth of Moore's Law |
70NFLXNetflix | Platforms | EARNINGS WK | HOLD | RICH | $63.09 | $82.14 | -23.2% | stop $82sell $111–117 | -14.3% 12M -42.4% -46.0% off hi | +11.8% margin 29.7% | 16.7 | Ads tier compounding; reports Thursday |
71ORCLOracle | Platforms | TECH RISK-OFF | HOLD | RICH | $126.30 | $158.23 | -20.2% | stop $158sell $273–287 | +7.3% 12M -55.1% -56.0% off hi | +29.6% margin 26.4% | 11.5 | OCI backlog vs debt-funded capex |
72KLACKLA | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | HOLD | RICH | $150.33 | $181.73 | -17.3% | stop $182sell $292–307 | -11.7% 12M +23.7% -51.1% off hi | +15.2% margin 35.6% | 22.3 | Process-control king, priced like one |
73TPLTexas Pacific Land | Energy Security | WAR PREMIUM | HOLD | PRICED FOR PERFECTION | $334.97 | $401.46 | -16.6% | stop $401sell $520–547 | -14.0% 12M +8.1% -38.8% off hi | +31.2% margin 60.3% | — | Royalty jewel at a museum multiple |
74BKNGBooking | Consumer & Mobility | QUIET | HOLD | FAIR | $151.58 | $178.12 | -14.9% | stop $178sell $210–221 | -24.7% 12M -27.9% -31.4% off hi | +8.1% margin 25.5% | 12.3 | Travel cash machine |
75CATCaterpillar | Real Economy | QUIET | HOLD | FAIR | $693.84 | $809.05 | -14.2% | stop $809sell $1,020–1,073 | -11.4% 12M +31.6% -35.4% off hi | +24.0% margin 14.5% | 21.3 | Datacenter gensets + infrastructure |
76GEGE Aerospace | Defense & Space | EARNINGS WK | HOLD | RICH | $287.36 | $323.10 | -11.1% | stop $323sell $369–389 | -18.0% 12M -8.1% -26.1% off hi | +15.9% margin 17.3% | 30.9 | Engine aftermarket machine; reports Thursday |
77PHParker Hannifin | Power & Grid | QUIET | HOLD | FAIR | $901.09 | $949.53 | -5.1% | stop $950sell $1,045–1,100 | -5.3% 12M +16.4% -18.1% off hi | +9.8% margin 17.0% | 22.7 | Industrial compounder with grid exposure |
78AXPAmerican Express | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | HOLD | RICH | $313.25 | $326.95 | -4.2% | stop $327sell $368–387 | -5.5% 12M -13.4% -19.2% off hi | +11.3% margin 16.8% | 15.5 | Premium-consumer resilience |
79DEDeere | Real Economy | QUIET | HOLD | FAIR | $638.02 | $659.22 | -3.2% | stop $602sell $685–721 | +4.4% 12M +33.4% -11.5% off hi | +4.9% margin 10.2% | 28.0 | Ag trough with an autonomy option |
80ARMArm Holdings | AI Compute | TECH RISK-OFF | HOLD | PRICED FOR PERFECTION | $221.86 | $226.61 | -2.1% | stop $227sell $430–453 | -1.3% 12M +24.2% -51.0% off hi | +22.4% margin 20.2% | 72.3 | Architecture royalty; multiple assumes perfection |
81VRTXVertex | Health Innovation | QUIET | HOLD | FAIR | $513.24 | $522.86 | -1.8% | stop $478sell $532–560 | +6.2% 12M +22.2% -8.4% off hi | +12.5% margin 35.0% | 25.2 | CF fortress + pain franchise |
82ABNBAirbnb | Consumer & Mobility | QUIET | HOLD | FAIR | $170.00 | $171.73 | -1.0% | stop $146sell $184–193 | +11.1% 12M +31.7% -12.1% off hi | +16.5% margin 20.4% | 27.4 | Category owner with a margin lever |
83WMBWilliams | Energy Security | WAR PREMIUM | HOLD | FAIR | $71.81 | $72.14 | -0.5% | stop $72sell $76–80 | +2.4% 12M +24.5% -10.3% off hi | +7.8% margin 24.9% | 27.1 | Gas pipes, steady yield |
84GDGeneral Dynamics | Defense & Space | WAR PREMIUM | HOLD | FAIR | $353.99 | $354.81 | -0.2% | stop $355sell $380–400 | -7.1% 12M +0.1% -11.5% off hi | +8.1% margin 8.2% | 19.0 | Submarines + Gulfstream |
85SNOWSnowflake | Software & Cyber | TECH RISK-OFF | HOLD | RICH | $333.68 | $331.76 | +0.6% | stop $237sell $365–385 | +17.9% 12M +25.5% -13.2% off hi | +35.1% margin -20.1% | 110.5 | Data cloud; competition getting thick |
86TTTrane | Real Economy | QUIET | HOLD | RICH | $455.52 | $452.42 | +0.7% | stop $454sell $481–506 | +2.0% 12M +6.4% -10.0% off hi | +10.6% margin 13.3% | 25.8 | Cooling compounder with datacenter tailwind |
87AAPLApple | Platforms | TECH RISK-OFF | HOLD | RICH | $343.85 | $330.23 | +4.1% | stop $295sell $359–369 | +1.7% 12M +27.9% -2.2% off hi | +16.4% margin 27.6% | 36.0 | Pricing power; iPhone 18 September catalyst |
88MAMastercard | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | HOLD | RICH | $613.02 | $582.53 | +5.2% | stop $534sell $627–641 | +8.8% 12M +7.1% -3.2% off hi | +14.1% margin 46.3% | 26.6 | Same tollbooth, same price |
89BRK-BBerkshire Hathaway | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | HOLD | FAIR | $545.32 | $511.64 | +6.6% | stop $495sell $530–536 | +7.1% 12M +11.7% -0.8% off hi | +10.0% margin 22.3% | 24.3 | Cash-mountain optionality |
90VVisa | Financials H4L | HIKE TRADE | HOLD | RICH | $403.70 | $377.86 | +6.8% | stop $341sell $401–408 | +9.5% 12M +16.1% -2.6% off hi | +14.4% margin 50.8% | 26.9 | Tollbooth at steady state |
91COSTCostco | Consumer & Mobility | QUIET | HOLD | PRICED FOR PERFECTION | $1,004 | $939.72 | +6.8% | stop $970sell $1,042–1,096 | +3.1% 12M +8.0% -8.4% off hi | +11.1% margin 3.0% | 40.1 | Perfect retailer, perfect price |
92OXYOccidental | Energy Security | WAR PREMIUM | HOLD | FAIR | $64.06 | $59.94 | +6.9% | stop $56sell $64–67 | +14.3% 12M +51.5% -5.0% off hi | +53.4% margin 30.3% | 12.8 | Buffett's barrel; deleveraging story |
93PLTRPalantir | Software & Cyber | TECH RISK-OFF | HOLD | PRICED FOR PERFECTION | $198.80 | $185.25 | +7.3% | stop $153sell $202–213 | +61.6% 12M +5.1% -6.6% off hi | +92.8% margin 49.0% | 84.4 | Great company, unforgiving multiple |
94WMTWalmart | Consumer & Mobility | QUIET | HOLD | RICH | $120.32 | $109.53 | +9.9% | stop $118sell $128–135 | +5.3% 12M +15.2% -11.0% off hi | +5.9% margin 3.0% | 37.3 | Ads + memberships re-rating |
95CRWDCrowdStrike | Software & Cyber | TECH RISK-OFF | HOLD | RICH | $260.56 | $235.68 | +10.6% | stop $164sell $273–287 | +45.3% 12M +96.8% -9.2% off hi | +25.8% margin 0.8% | 161.7 | Cyber platform premium |
96NOWServiceNow | Software & Cyber | TECH RISK-OFF | HOLD | RICH | $155.71 | $138.12 | +12.7% | stop $115sell $183–193 | +34.5% 12M -17.7% -19.3% off hi | +24.0% margin 11.3% | 31.1 | Best enterprise franchise, full price |
97ISRGIntuitive Surgical | Health Innovation | QUIET | HOLD | PRICED FOR PERFECTION | $449.96 | $397.17 | +13.3% | stop $436sell $574–604 | +27.4% 12M -18.4% -25.5% off hi | +21.7% margin 25.5% | 36.2 | Robotic-surgery monopoly at a monopoly price |
98LCID ◆Lucid | Consumer & Mobility | QUIET | AVOID | OVERVALUED | $3.52 | $7.02 | -49.8% | — | -55.7% 12M -80.5% -81.9% off hi | +56.2% margin -249.2% | -0.7 | Cash furnace |
99MSTR ◆Strategy | Crypto Infra | TECH RISK-OFF | AVOID | OVERVALUED | $142.97 | $140.70 | +1.6% | — | +53.2% 12M -51.6% -52.3% off hi | +6.9% margin 0.0% | 2.9 | 'Discount to BTC' vanishes after ~$20B senior claims |
100SKHY ◆SK Hynix (US) | Memory Cycle | MEMORY UNWIND | NO BASE | FAIR | $142.07 | — | — | — | +12.1% 12M — -28.9% off hi | +256.8% margin 85.6% | 4.1 | HBM leader; 4 days post-IPO — let it base |
Twelve structural themes, ordered by how many of their names are actionable today — not by heat. Cooling ≠ dead: in a risk-off tape, cooling is where the zones are.
Accelerators, foundry, equipment, networking — the decade's capex cycle.
So what → Boiled over, now correcting — 8 leaders just hit buy zones. Shop, don't flee.
Megacaps that own distribution and fund AI from cash flow.
So what → Already marked down. MSFT and GOOGL are megacap's value aisle.
So what → The parabola broke. Don't catch it — wait for the reclaim gates.
So what → The quiet AI trade, on sale — 5 names in zone, zero headlines.
So what → The war premium just re-lit the bid. Own it before the next headline, not after.
So what → Cooled all spring; Hormuz re-lit it Monday. Budgets last decades — buy the discount.
So what → The AI-fear discount is the entry — these franchises aren't dying.
So what → A hike cycle pays banks. Today's guides confirm it — or don't.
So what → Risk appetite is off, so is this. Small size or none.
So what → Regime-proof growth. Pay up only at zones.
So what → Copper first — it's the bottleneck. The rest needs a soft landing.
So what → Hold the moats, skip the promises.
This month. Every one of the hundred carries one of these tags.
Hormuz risk keeps a war premium in oil. Energy and defense carry the bid. WTI $81 = the pain line for stocks.
The crowd's favourite AI trade is cracking — memory names in bear markets. Knives now; reclaim gates later.
Money is rotating out of crowded growth into energy and value. Quality tech is falling into buy zones.
The market prices the Fed's next move as a hike. Banks and the dollar win; long-duration tech and gold lose.
Names reporting within days. Binary events: beats get paid, misses get executed. No entries hours before a print.
Plain English. Open one at a time.
The verb. What to actually do — nothing else on this page matters more. Everything else is evidence for this one field. BUY NOW is a level, not a promise — historically ~55% of these entries hold and about half test the break line within three weeks. That's why thirds.
My opinion: the price against what the business is actually worth. It never overrides the Decision — a cheap stock in a broken trend is still a knife.
Zone = the price where buying makes sense, computed from real trading averages. "To zone" = how far above it you would be paying today.
The bar reads left to right as a price ladder: the stop (red), the buy zone (green), where price sits right now (white), and the sell range (gold). One glance tells you whether you are early, on time, or late.
Price move over three months, with the 12-month move and the distance off the 52-week high underneath. It answers one question: is the crowd buying or leaving?
Revenue growth against the same quarter last year, with net margin underneath. Forward P/E is how many years of next year's expected profit you are paying upfront.