EDITION 041MON 19 OCT 2026 · 12:45 DUBLINREGIME: RISK-OFFPLAYBOOK MODE
Today's Move
Stocks slid Friday and the Nasdaq had its worst week since June, with futures up Monday into a heavy earnings week — Hold what's on and Do nothing new; the price feed is blocked again, so there is no radar.
Friday 16 Oct: S&P 500 −1.1% to 7,659.44, Nasdaq −2.1% to 26,140.03, Dow −0.3% to 52,002.41, led by chips (Micron −5.6%, Intel −5.8%). Week: Nasdaq −4.5%, S&P −1.9%. Plan: Hold; Do nothing new before Netflix and GM (Tue) and Tesla, Meta, IBM (Wed).No price refresh landed — Yahoo is blocked from this environment (HTTP 403), so the Buy Zone Radar is unavailable.
Big Picture RegimeUnchanged
RISK-OFF holds. Concern over how long the AI-infrastructure build-out lasts hit chips on Friday, and one preview says oil above $100 still weighs on sentiment (single source, unconfirmed). Futures for Monday were reported higher after the Nasdaq's worst week since the spring (levels: —). The Fed is in its quiet period 17–29 Oct, so no officials speak this week; futures put a 15% chance on an October hike as of Friday morning (CNBC). 10-year yield, dollar, Brent, Bitcoin: — (no verified same-day reading).
What it means: a Monday bounce after a 4.5% Nasdaq week is not a regime change. Nothing here flips RISK-OFF.
Trends: Now & Next Where the money is going
NOW · AI-infrastructure doubts hit chipsMatters
Chip makers led Friday's drop as investors questioned how long the AI build-out spending continues. Watch; Do nothing until earnings show whether spending holds.
NOW · Energy and rates pressureWatch
Oil-driven worries are reported but levels are unverified today. Watch; Do nothing new.
NEXT · Fed decision 27–28 OctCatalyst
Q3 GDP and September PCE inflation also land before it (dates —). Hold into it; Do nothing new.
Chips fell on doubts about the AI build-out. Watch for a chip bounce on earnings; Do nothing.
Small caps −1.7%Noise
Moved with the broad sell-off, no separate cause found. Do nothing.
Smart Money Who's actually buying
Not collected today: searches returned no dated October 2026 insider clusters, congress filings or fund moves (latest found: August 2026). Congress trades carry a 45-day STOCK Act lag. Honest stub, nothing is a trigger.
Buy Zone Radar Prices unavailable
Prices unavailable. This run's fetch of the Yahoo price feed failed entirely (HTTP 403 from the network proxy, fc.yahoo.com), so no refresh was run and no zone table is published. data/alpha100.json is not re-presented as today's. No new buys, adds or trims until a refresh completes; all levels: —. The cloud environment's network allowlist needs the Yahoo hosts added.
Next 48 Hours Dublin time
TUE 20 OCT
Netflix and General Motors report (times —; one preview also lists SpaceX, GE Aerospace, 3M).Watch guidance; Do nothing before it.
WED 21 OCT
Tesla, Meta, IBM report (Meta and Tesla after the US close per one source; times —).Watch AI-spending commentary from Meta; Do nothing before it.
THU 22 OCT
Procter & Gamble reports (outside 48h, listed for planning).Do nothing.
Ignore This Noise filter
"Nasdaq's worst week since June." Loud, but a single week; it does not change the Fed path or the trend call.
So: earnings guidance and the 27–28 Oct Fed decision matter; one weekly drawdown does not.
Alpha 100 List changes
No editorial adds or ejections today. No refresh commit: the price fetch failed entirely this run. No breadth figure quoted.