EDITION 038WED 7 OCT 2026 · 12:45 DUBLINREGIME: RISK-OFFPLAYBOOK MODE
Today's Move
S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at records and the 10-year still sits near 5.27% — Hold what's on and Do nothing new before today's Fed minutes (19:00 Dublin); futures are lower and the price feed is blocked again, so there is no radar.
Tuesday close: S&P 500 +0.7% to a record, its first close above 7,800; Nasdaq Composite +0.5% to a record; Dow +0.5%. This morning futures are lower (Dow −0.5%, S&P −0.2%, Nasdaq-100 −0.6%) with oil and Treasury yields firmer. Plan: Hold; Do nothing new until the September FOMC minutes print at 19:00 Dublin. Judge the minutes by hike language and the 10-year (~5.27%), not by the index record. No price refresh landed today — Yahoo is blocked from this environment (HTTP 403), so the Buy Zone Radar is unavailable.
Big Picture RegimeUnchanged
RISK-OFF holds. The 10-year eased on Tuesday but sits near 5.27% after its highest close in 24 years; the 30-year is ~5.64%, near its highest since 2002. Equities are at records on AI enthusiasm and roughly 30% expected S&P 500 Q3 earnings growth. Brent, dollar index and Bitcoin: — (today's sources conflicted, so none quoted).
What it means: the regime flips RISK-ON only when the 10-year falls away from its highs and the dollar stops rising. Yields are firmer again this morning. Not yet.
Trends: Now & Next Where the money is going
NOW · Chips and AI lead againMatters · Regime
Nvidia and AMD led Tuesday's tech rally and Marvell jumped ~8% on a raised fiscal-2028 revenue outlook. Hold; a rally on 5%+ yields is narrow — Add only at a zone once prices return.
NOW · Power for AI: Alphabet–Constellation nuclear dealWatch
Alphabet announced a $4.3 billion deal for 890 MW of nuclear power; Constellation Energy rose ~13%. Watch for read-through to power names; do not chase a one-day gap.
NEXT · Fed minutes today, then Q3 earnings seasonCatalyst
Minutes of the 15–16 Sept FOMC land today at 19:00 Dublin; traders look for the balance between inflation and jobs worries and how divided the Fed is. Earnings season follows. Plan around tonight.
Movers & Why Tue close · Wed premarket
Tue close: S&P 500 +0.7% (record, first close above 7,800) · Nasdaq Composite +0.5% (record) · Dow +0.5% · Wed premarket: Dow fut −0.5%, S&P fut −0.2%, Nasdaq-100 fut −0.6% · 10Y ~5.27% · 30Y ~5.64% · index levels, Brent, BTC, DXY: —
MRVL · ~+8% on raised guidanceMatters
Marvell raised its fiscal-2028 revenue guidance above the average analyst estimate. MRVL is a BUY-tier Alpha 100 name, but there is no fresh price or zone. Watch at your zone; do not chase a gap.
CEG · ~+13% on Alphabet nuclear dealWatch
Alphabet's $4.3B, 890 MW nuclear power agreement. CEG is a BUY-tier Alpha 100 name; zone unavailable today. Watch at your zone; Do nothing into a 13% one-day jump.
STZ · ~−5% despite a better-than-expected quarterNoise
Constellation Brands beat on fiscal Q2 yet fell. Not on the Alpha 100. Do nothing.
Smart Money Who's actually buying
Not collected today: searches returned no dated insider clusters or fund moves for the past week. Congress trades are disclosed with a 45-day STOCK Act lag, so anything seen is weeks old; none verified in a BUY-tier Alpha 100 name. Honest stub — nothing is a trigger.
Buy Zone Radar Prices unavailable
Prices unavailable. This run's fetch of the Yahoo price feed failed entirely (HTTP 403 from the network proxy, host query1.finance.yahoo.com), so no refresh was run and no zone table is published. data/alpha100.json still carries data last fetched 21 Sept 2026 (16:41 UTC), not re-presented as today's. No new buys, adds or trims until a refresh completes — all levels: —. Third-plus consecutive edition without a feed; the cloud environment's network allowlist needs the Yahoo hosts added.
Next 48 Hours Dublin time
WED 7 OCT 19:00
September FOMC minutes (2:00pm ET). Fed speakers and Treasury auctions also on the day's calendar — times —.Hold into it; do not add before it prints.
THU 8 OCT —
ECB monetary policy accounts (time not confirmed); jobless claims — not confirmed.Watch for rate-path language; Do nothing before it.
FRI 9 OCT —
US consumer sentiment; Canadian employment (times not confirmed).Watch inflation-expectations detail; Do nothing new.
Ignore This Noise filter
"S&P 500 tops 7,800 for the first time." A round number on a day when yields only eased from a 24-year high.
So: tonight's minutes and the 10-year matter; the index record does not.
Alpha 100 List changes
No editorial adds or ejections today. No refresh commit: the price fetch failed entirely this run. No breadth figure quoted.