There is no session to react to today, so the number that matters is Friday's: August payrolls smashed estimates at +162,000 versus a +53,000 consensus, unemployment held at 4.1%, and the "labor is cracking" story that Wednesday's soft ADP print started was dead within 48 hours. Stocks sold off on the beat — Dow -0.51% to 53,414.25, S&P -0.38% to 7,718.60, Nasdaq -0.29% to 26,506.99 — because strong data now reads as hawkish: Fed-hike odds for the 16 September decision jumped to roughly 60%, and the Fed's quiet period started Saturday, so there's no Fedspeak to talk it back down before then. The five live BUY NOW zones (Amazon, Bank of America, RTX, Novo Nordisk, Eli Lilly) are unchanged since Friday's fetch — there's nothing to add or trim with the market shut, so the only action today is planning Tuesday's reopen against them.
Friday's 162k payroll beat erased in one print what Wednesday's ADP miss (38k vs. 48k expected) had spent two days building — unemployment held at 4.1% and Fed-hike odds for the 16 September FOMC meeting jumped to roughly 56-66% depending on the pricing source, up from near-zero rate-cut odds already baked in. RISK-OFF holds, but the character flipped: this is a market selling off on strong data, not weak data, and the hawkish case now has no obvious dovish off-ramp before the decision itself.
Fri close: Dow -0.51% (-271.86pts) → 53,414.25 · S&P 500 -0.38% → 7,718.60 · Nasdaq -0.29% → 26,506.99 · Markets closed today (Labor Day), reopen Tue 9:30am ET · 10Y ~4.79% (touched 4.81%+ this week, highest since late 2023) · Brent ~$96.28 (+8%+ on the week) · WTI ~$91-92 · Gold ~$4,432-4,450/oz · Bitcoin ~$79,900 (Sun/Mon levels) · DXY 99.16
| Name | Status | Level & anchor | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN In zone |
Amazon — AWS reacceleration + retail margin lever | $257.08 vs 50-day zone $253.92 (+1.2%) | Buy in thirds. Stop $239 · sell $273–287. |
| BAC In zone |
Bank of America — rate-sensitive book repricing upward | $62.15 vs 50-day zone $61.61 (+0.9%) | Buy in thirds. Stop $55 · sell $66–67. |
| RTX In zone |
RTX — missiles + engines; Iran demand pull | $200.92 vs 50-day zone $207.67 (-3.3%) | Buy in thirds. Stop $193 · sell $216–227. |
| NVO In zone |
Novo Nordisk — GLP-1 #2 at a discount after stumbles | $46.53 vs 50-day zone $47.89 (-2.8%) | Buy in thirds. Stop $46 · sell $61–64. |
| LLY In zone |
Eli Lilly — GLP-1 franchise + pipeline depth | $1,145 vs 50-day zone $1,191 (-3.9%) | Buy in thirds. Stop $1,063 · sell $1,228–1,293. |
| FANG Limit order |
Diamondback — Permian consolidator | $199.44 · buy ≤ 50-day zone $195.16 (+2.2% above) | Watch at $195. Limit only. Stop $181 · sell $206–217. |
| EOG Limit order |
EOG Resources — best-in-class shale returns | $145.44 · buy ≤ 50-day zone $141.54 (+2.8% above) | Watch at $142. Limit only. Stop $129 · sell $146–154. |
| JPM Limit order |
JPMorgan — the fortress balance sheet | $357.70 · buy ≤ 50-day zone $349.76 (+2.3% above) | Watch at $350. Limit only. Stop $318 · sell $371–378. |
| WFC Limit order |
Wells Fargo — post-asset-cap growth case | $88.99 · buy ≤ 50-day zone $86.63 (+2.7% above) | Watch at $87. Limit only. Stop $85 · sell $93–98. |
| SCHW Limit order |
Charles Schwab — cash sorting done; NII rebuild | $108.99 · buy ≤ 50-day zone $105.07 (+3.7% above) | Watch at $105. Limit only. Stop $97 · sell $114–117. |
| UBER Reclaim gate |
Uber — platform FCF inflection; AV partnership hub | $75.53 · needs to reclaim 200-day $76.32 (-1.0% below) | Watch for a reclaim close above $76. No buy yet. Stop $76 · sell $97–102 (informational). |
| ADBE Reclaim gate |
Adobe — AI anxiety fully priced; cash machine intact | $265.34 · needs to reclaim 200-day $267.93 (-1.0% below) | Watch for a reclaim close above $268. No buy yet. Stop $268 · sell $352–371 (informational). |
| META Reclaim gate |
Meta — strongest Mag7 chart; AI ad engine | $610.62 · needs to reclaim 200-day $622.26 (-1.9% below) | Watch for a reclaim close above $622. No buy yet. Stop $622 · sell $751–791 (informational). |
| CEG Reclaim gate |
Constellation Energy — largest US nuclear fleet + Calpine | $290.05 · needs to reclaim 200-day $296.32 (-2.1% below) | Watch for a reclaim close above $296. No buy yet. Stop $296 · sell $392–413 (informational). |
| AVGO Reclaim gate |
Broadcom — custom AI silicon + software; expensive for a reason | $355.90 · needs to reclaim 200-day $369.82 (-3.8% below) | Watch for a reclaim close above $370. No buy yet. Stop $370 · sell $470–495 (informational). |
| CCJ Reclaim gate |
Cameco — Western uranium duopoly | $100.68 · needs to reclaim 200-day $105.37 (-4.4% below) | Watch for a reclaim close above $105. No buy yet. Stop $105 · sell $128–135 (informational). |
| CLS Reclaim gate |
Celestica — hyperscaler ODM compounder | $312.78 · needs to reclaim 200-day $328.06 (-4.7% below) | Watch for a reclaim close above $328. No buy yet. Stop $328 · sell $450–474 (informational). |
| TSM At zone · downswing |
TSMC — everyone's foundry | $426.51 vs 50-day zone $420.36 (+1.5%) | Watch — zone holds, slope is down. No new buys. Stop $373 · sell $455–479 (informational). |
| MRVL At zone · downswing |
Marvell — custom silicon + optics for AI datacenters | $218.47 vs 50-day zone $220.56 (-0.9%) | Watch — zone holds, slope is down. No new buys. Stop $152 · sell $313–330 (informational). |
| ETN At zone · downswing |
Eaton — electrification of everything | $408.50 vs 50-day zone $415.28 (-1.6%) | Watch — zone holds, slope is down. No new buys. Stop $381 · sell $454–478 (informational). |
| GS At zone · downswing |
Goldman Sachs — capital-markets thaw + rates desk | $1,028 vs 50-day zone $1,043 (-1.5%) | Watch — zone holds, slope is down. No new buys. Stop $948 · sell $1,096–1,154 (informational). |
| GOOGL At zone · downswing |
Alphabet — search + Gemini + TPUs; still the cheapest megacap | $338.60 vs 50-day zone $348.57 (-2.9%) | Watch — zone holds, slope is down. No new buys. Stop $336 · sell $388–409 (informational). |
| VRT At zone · downswing |
Vertiv — cooling + power gear for AI datacenters | $274.61 vs 50-day zone $282.58 (-2.8%) | Watch — zone holds, slope is down. No new buys. Stop $257 · sell $361–380 (informational). |
| PWR At zone · downswing |
Quanta Services — grid-buildout backlog machine | $629.62 vs 50-day zone $652.28 (-3.5%) | Watch — zone holds, slope is down. No new buys. Stop $588 · sell $749–789 (informational). |
| ASML At zone · downswing |
ASML — litho monopoly; the toll booth of Moore's Law | $1,714 vs 50-day zone $1,751 (-2.1%) | Watch — zone holds, slope is down. No new buys. Stop $1,481 · sell $1,900–2,000 (informational). |
| NOK Broke zone |
Nokia — networks + patents; deep value on AI backhaul | $9.96 vs 50-day zone $10.53 (-5.4%) | Do nothing — wait for repair. Stop $10 · sell $17–17 (informational). |
| PANW Broke zone |
Palo Alto — platformization is working | $330.61 vs 50-day zone $349.25 (-5.3%) | Do nothing — wait for repair. Stop $233 · sell $379–399 (informational). |
| LRCX Broke zone |
Lam Research — etch & deposition leader; memory-capex proxy | $304.37 vs 50-day zone $321.82 (-5.4%) | Do nothing — wait for repair. Stop $261 · sell $417–438 (informational). |
| AMD Broke zone |
AMD — Zen 6 + Helios racks; the credible #2 in accelerators | $469.40 vs 50-day zone $499.11 (-6.0%) | Do nothing — wait for repair. Stop $341 · sell $555–585 (informational). |
| GEV Broke zone |
GE Vernova — gas turbines sold out for years | $950.00 vs 50-day zone $1,016 (-6.5%) | Do nothing — wait for repair. Stop $886 · sell $1,136–1,196 (informational). |
| COHR Broke zone |
Coherent — optics and transceivers for AI clusters | $279.56 vs 50-day zone $307.07 (-9.0%) | Do nothing — wait for repair. Stop $276 · sell $418–440 (informational). |
| DDOG Broke zone |
Datadog — observability + AI monitoring | $213.60 vs 50-day zone $249.25 (-14.3%) | Do nothing — wait for repair. Stop $176 · sell $278–293 (informational). |
| AMAT Broke zone |
Applied Materials — broadest chip-equipment franchise | $455.80 vs 50-day zone $533.74 (-14.6%) | Do nothing — wait for repair. Stop $407 · sell $703–740 (informational). |
Lululemon's 18% Friday plunge on a cut outlook. It's a loud, real number — but Lululemon isn't in the Alpha 100, the drop is company-specific (a guidance cut, not a macro signal), and it carries no read-through for the book's positioning.